{
  "date": "2026-09-22",
  "agent": "claude",
  "capsulVersion": "1.4.5",
  "codeCommit": "9f889fc",
  "claudeCodeVersion": "2.1.280",
  "agentSdkVersion": "0.3.280",
  "taskCount": 5,
  "tasks": [
    "cli-keys",
    "cli-retrieval",
    "web-password",
    "web-redirect",
    "web-theme"
  ],
  "repetitions": 3,
  "arms": {
    "nu": "claude -p (Claude Code 2.1.280), same model forced, user's ambient config",
    "capsul-fixe": "capsul ask --model <same model>, product defaults"
  },
  "runs": 278,
  "excluded": 4,
  "aggregation": "Per model and arm: mean of the repetitions of each task, summed over the five tasks. Gain = bare sum / capsul sum. With three repetitions the median would keep the warm-cache pass two times out of three and overstate every gain; with two repetitions (all earlier published campaigns) mean and median coincide.",
  "weightedFormula": "fresh + 0.1 * cacheRead + 1.25 * cacheWrite per run (bench weighting, unchanged since 2026-08-30; pondereTtl charges 1-hour cache writes at 2.0)",
  "bootstrap": {
    "draws": 1000,
    "seed": 12345,
    "percentiles": [5, 95],
    "method": "One repetition resampled with replacement per task and arm; ratio of sums. Models drawn in picker order from one seeded stream."
  },
  "protocol": "Five one-line questions about this repository and its website, asked to the same Claude model with and without capsul. Ten models, all run in parallel, one process and one ledger per model; within a process the two arms alternate cell by cell, repetition by repetition. Answers are scored by automatic anchor checks read in the source code.",
  "limitations": [
    "One-line questions are where the gain is widest; a 2026-09-04 run on ten-line prompts gave narrower gains (x1.09 to x3.34, two rows not established).",
    "Small sample on one repository (5 tasks x 3 repetitions per arm); not evidence for editing tasks, long sessions or general model rankings.",
    "The first repetition of a cell writes the prompt cache and the next ones read it, so repetitions differ by up to several times; the intervals carry that noise.",
    "Automatic anchor checks are lexical, not a complete quality assessment. cli-keys asks for the 0o600 file mode, which most models miss on both arms.",
    "Weighted input measures what is sent to the model, not subscription quota, whose weighting is not published.",
    "Opus 5.5 requires Claude Code 2.1.280, so the bare arm uses the Claude Code bundled with the agent SDK for every model rather than the separately installed CLI.",
    "Fable 5 and Fable 5.1 hit the subscription's weekly Fable limit during the run (HTTP 429, 'You've reached your Fable limit'): 24 and 14 of their 30 cells were measured, the failed cells are counted in 'excluded', and their intervals rest on fewer repetitions than the other rows (Fable 5.1: one repetition on three of its five tasks), so they are narrower than the noise warrants."
  ],
  "medianGain": 2.72,
  "rows": [
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      "capsul": 96341,
      "gain": 2.88,
      "low": 1.62,
      "high": 4.49,
      "bootstrapMedian": 2.81,
      "stepsNu": 12,
      "stepsCapsul": 22,
      "justesseNu": 2,
      "justesseCapsul": 4,
      "rawInput": {
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        "capsul": 409213
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      "output": {
        "nu": 13526,
        "capsul": 2222
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      "costUsdApiEquivalent": {
        "nu": 0.4059,
        "capsul": 0.1327
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      "cells": {
        "nu": 15,
        "capsul-fixe": 15
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      "complete": true
    },
    {
      "model": "Sonnet 4.6",
      "modelId": "claude-sonnet-4-6",
      "nu": 157094,
      "capsul": 83210,
      "gain": 1.89,
      "low": 1.3,
      "high": 2.79,
      "bootstrapMedian": 1.93,
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      "stepsCapsul": 15,
      "justesseNu": 4,
      "justesseCapsul": 4,
      "rawInput": {
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      "output": {
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      "costUsdApiEquivalent": {
        "nu": 0.6965,
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      "complete": true
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    {
      "model": "Sonnet 5",
      "modelId": "claude-sonnet-5",
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      "capsul": 94719,
      "gain": 2.86,
      "low": 2.02,
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      "bootstrapMedian": 2.92,
      "stepsNu": 16,
      "stepsCapsul": 16,
      "justesseNu": 4,
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      "output": {
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      "costUsdApiEquivalent": {
        "nu": 0.7629,
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      "complete": true
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    {
      "model": "Opus 4.6",
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      "capsul": 82213,
      "gain": 2.78,
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      "justesseNu": 4,
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      "output": {
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      "costUsdApiEquivalent": {
        "nu": 1.66,
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      "complete": true
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    {
      "model": "Opus 4.7",
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      "costUsdApiEquivalent": {
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    {
      "model": "Opus 4.8",
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      "costUsdApiEquivalent": {
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    {
      "model": "Opus 5",
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      "costUsdApiEquivalent": {
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      "model": "Opus 5.5",
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